$249
What price wins this contract? Stop guessing and start calculating. Statistical analysis across 30M+ real federal awards in your NAICS code — percentile ranges, competition density, and a data-backed recommended bid range.
A statistically rigorous pricing analysis generated from real federal award data — not estimates, not benchmarks from a consultant's spreadsheet.
See exactly where winning bids land for your NAICS code. Know the floor, the ceiling, and the sweet spot — calculated from real award data.
How many firms bid on contracts like yours? Is the market crowded or wide open? We analyze bid frequency and winner concentration.
FFP, T&M, cost-plus — which type dominates your NAICS? What pricing structures do winning bidders use? Data-driven guidance for your bid strategy.
A statistically-derived price range optimized for your specific opportunity size and NAICS code. Not a guess — a calculation.
How has pricing shifted over the past 3 years in your market? Are award values trending up, down, or flat? Plan your bid with full context.
No LLM can run percentile analysis across 30M real contract awards in your NAICS code.
Ask ChatGPT "what should I bid on a $3M IT services contract?" and you'll get a generic answer based on training data from 2023. Our analysis runs live SQL queries across 30M+ actual FPDS contract awards — computing real percentile distributions, winner-specific pricing patterns, and competition density for your exact NAICS code and contract size. Every number in your report is calculated, not generated.
30M+ real awards
Every FPDS record since 2001
Statistical percentiles
percentile_cont on live data
NAICS-specific
Filtered to your exact market
Here's what a Price-to-Win Analysis looks like for NAICS 541512 (Computer Systems Design). Your report will be specific to your NAICS and opportunity.
NAICS 541512 — IT Consulting
Median award: $2.4M
25th percentile: $680K | 75th percentile: $8.1M
Competition Density
4.7 average bidders per award
Below-average competition — favorable win probability
Contract Type Split
62% FFP, 28% T&M, 10% Cost-Plus
FFP dominates — price competitiveness is the primary differentiator
Recommended Bid Range
$1.8M - $3.2M for a $2.5M opportunity
Based on 40th-65th percentile — balances competitiveness and margin
The difference between winning and losing a federal contract often comes down to pricing. Get the data to price it right.
Get Price-to-Win Analysis — $249No account required. Pay once, receive instantly.
SourceBridge runs pricing analysis on every matched opportunity with — automatically. He factors in competition density, incumbent pricing patterns, and your win history to recommend optimal bid ranges before you even open the RFP.
Get Started — From $197/month